Did Japan really think they could beat the US in WWII? ・Were they really thinking about ultimately planning on land invasion of the mainland US so that the US could no longer supply new men and ships? ・Or were they hoping that the US would stop and surrender before such things were necessary? ・What was the Japanese high command thinking when they started the war in the Pacific?
Japan never thought they would invade Continental America (They did invade Alaska) they wanted to strike a decisive blow and then knock America out of the war. They had similar success against the Russians in 1905 "in that battle, the upstart Japan had destroyed the Russian navy in a single, brief encounter. The victory had put Japan on the map in world affairs and made a national hero of the Japanese fleet's leader, Admiral Heihachiro Togo. Yamamoto, who had lost two fingers in the battle, venerated Togo.
A lot of people don't realize just how close the Japanese came to more success. The turning point for the Americans was the Battle of Midway and their win there was almost pure luck. First Wade McClusky's squadron got lost and then accidentally ran into a destroyer on its way to the Japanese fleet, then he arrived at the exact moment when the Japanese aircraft carriers had their decks full of planes, ammo, and fuel. If he hadn't gotten lost and discovered the fleet or arrived a few minutes earlier or later the Japanese would have probably have won Midway. That loss would have forced the American fleet back to Hawaii if not America and extended the war by at least a year, maybe even forcing America to make a deal with the Japanese Empire so it could focus on Hitler something the Japanese themselves did with the USSR. 0136名無しさん＠お腹いっぱい。2015/05/02(土) 08:30:23.15ID:Cx03x3cK Ｑ）第二次大戦で日本は本当に米国をつぶせると思っていたの？ その２ Ａ）Graeme Shimminアマチュア戦史研究家
There are two ways of looking at this question: Did Japan think it could win a naval war with the USA? Did Japan have any real choice other than war in 1941?
The answer to the first is Yes for the reasons given below. The answer to the second is No for the reasons given in my answer to "Would Japan have attacked Pearl Harbor without the oil embargo?"
The Japanese strategy in World War Two was based on a concept called Decisive battle (Kantai Kessen).
What they aimed to do was draw the US fleet into a titanic fleet battle somewhere off the coast of Japan, probably the Ryukyu Islands. They believed that they could win that battle. Several factors fed this belief:
1)The US would be at the end of their logistical tether. 2)Japanese submarines, cruisers and carriers would weaken the US fleet using hit and run tactics during the long approach to Japan across the Pacific. 3)The Japanese believed their fleet to be superior in quality if not quantity (and had some justification in doing so). 4)The Japanese fleet was modeled on the Royal Navy and the doctrine of Alfred Thayer Mahan both of which emphasized the decisive fleet battle. 5)They also had the example of the Battle of Tsushima where they destroyed two thirds of the Russian fleet.
The assumption was after this new Tsushima, the US Navy, in the Pacific at least, would be almost completely destroyed. Faced then with the huge cost in men and resources necessary to build a completely new fleet, and with the psychologica trauma of devastating defeat, the USA would see reason and accept the new status quo of Japan's domination of East Asia
The decisive battle doctrine was undermined by technological advancement, partially by fleet submarines, which could attack Japanese logistics without a fleet clash, and partially by aircraft carriers, which made a Tsushima style clash obsolete. Many Japanese admirals realized this, but the senior decision makers did not. 0137名無しさん＠お腹いっぱい。2018/08/29(水) 07:23:08.16ID:eNyhD83i 経済的にも自由が手に入りたいなら「立木のボボトイテテレ」で検索すればいいと思う
